1/10/2022

Jan 10, 2022


1/10/2022
Sometimes the market becomes too "obvious."  Opening calls for Sunday night were higher but a lower open spurred liquidation.  There was broad macro sell-off today including not only ag commodities but oil, gold, stocks and indexes, as well.  The DOW traded around 600 lower and the NASDAQ about 400 lower at one time today.  We did have an 8am sale announcement this morning with the USDA confirming the sale of 132,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to Mexico, with 77k tonnes in the 2021/22 marketing year and 55k tonnes in the 2022/23 marketing year.  Weekly export inspections were mid-range for corn with 1.023 million tonnes inspected for shipment, soybean inspections were below the minimum estimate with 905k tonnes inspected.  As of now, corn shipment pace falls short of the USDA target by 150 million bushels, improving from the 175 million bushels mark two weeks ago.  Soybean shipments exceed the pace needed to hit the USDA target by 10 million bushels, down from 21 million bushels two weeks ago and 18 million bushels last week.  With last year's South American weather story, many experts expected Brazil to be importing corn at this point but they continue to ship corn out at a steady pace.  Big report day on Wednesday that includes the monthly WASDE and quarterly grain stocks reports.  Always recommend having sell orders working on report days. 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...