1/17/2023

Jan 17, 2023


1/17/2023
Corn and soybeans start the week off on a strong note. Both recovered from overnight lows to challenge the nearby highs on the charts from late December. We had a good shot of fresh news today. To start us off, the USDA confirmed sales of 150,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to Colombia and 119,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown, both during the 2022/23 marketing year. We then received our weekly export inspections report where both corn and soybeans exceeded trade expectations with 774k tonnes of corn and 2.075 mln tonnes of soybeans shipped last week. U.S. corn export shipments to date are short of the pace needed to meet the USDA target by 156 million bushels versus 150 million short last week. Soybean shipments are 40 million bushels behind the pace versus 46 million bushels last week. The NOPA Crush report for December was released today, as well, with slightly negative numbers. Bushels crushed for the month was figured at 175.505 million bushels, below the trade guess of 182.907 mln bu. Soy oil stocks were reported at 1.791 bln lbs, above the trade guess of 1.725 bln.

Key reversal higher today on the corn and soybean charts. Corn is looking like it has finally broken out of its wedge to the high side. If money follows-through, $6.75-6.80 cash corn could be possible in the near future. Have your sell-orders working!
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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.