1/20/2021

Jan 20, 2021


1/20/2021
Another day of corrective lower action and profit taking.  Overnight, corn finally filled the gap created a week ago and beans were deep in the red going into the morning break.  Prices snapped back off of their lows at the open with corn gaining back 6 cents and beans gaining back 10 cents within the first 10 minutes of trade.  The underlying support to these markets is impressive as prices improved throughout the day.  Our market correction was validated as we had some export business get stirred up today.  China is now interested in US corn through July and a bean cargo was sold on the PNW.  Some have raised their bean production estimates for Brazil with one firm increasing total production by 1.36 bln bu. (about .25 bu/ac).  There has been an on-going trucker strike in Argentina and it is reported that Brazilian truckers are set to strike Feb 1.  A potential strike during the ramp up of Brazil bean harvest would have an interesting effect on the market and would likely be friendly for US exports.  It is estimated that 70% of old crop corn and 92% of old crop beans in the US are sold.  Domestically, beans are starting to move in odd directions across the country that are rarely seen.  We are comfortable keeping the bin door shut on home run beans, if you have any.  For the time being, our futures targets remain in place. 
 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...