1/21/2021

Jan 21, 2021


1/21/2021
Today was a very quiet day as the markets were higher on the overnight, but faded back near unchanged out of the coffee break this morning.  More business got done overnight, but the markets didn't seem to care.  More old crop beans too which surprised me a bit.  136,000 mt of soybeans to China 20/21, 163,290 mt of soybeans to Mexico 20/21, 336,500 mt of corn to unknown 20/21, and 138,000 mt of HRW wheat to Nigeria for 21/22.  Corn and bean bids remain strong out in April, May, June, July.  The front end remains weak as there is enough grain moving to cover the markets needs thru March.  In Brazil, conditions are still be mostly good for crops. There are a few exceptions including northeastern areas that will continue to be too dry, especially from central Minas Gerais through Bahia. In Argentina, rain is still likely to increase in the nation this weekend and especially Monday and Tuesday of next week. The rain will provide some relief from this week’s heat and dryness.  There is definitely some damage that is done, but the rain helps for those crops in pollination stage.  Informa was out today and had corn at 94.244 million acres vs 90.819 last year, soybeans acres at 90.08 million vs 83.084 last year, and other sp wheat 11.490 million vs 12.25 last year.  That gives a you something to think about heading into March intentions.
 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...