1/27/2023

Jan 27, 2023


1/27/2023
Corn and soybeans were quietly higher overnight and spent most of the day session lower in quiet fashion, as well. Corn found some fresh buyers for the March 2023 contract in the final hour of trade. Overall, price action was muted and daily ranges were relatively tight up to that point. Spreads strengthened in corn as we progressed through the week. Those with basis-fixed contracts that would like to extend their marketing window can roll from March to May futures with a net gain of 2 cents at the close today. We haven't had an opportunity like this since military action between Russia and Ukraine began in February of 2022. New crop corn contracts have not performed as well this week making it easy to determine that this week's moves have been money driven by speculators buying the front month. This is money that can leave the market at any moment!

Corn trade overall was strong this week but now we are back into some familiar territory. This is the third time in the past 30 days we have traded in the high 6’s, we have retreated quickly the past 2 times. With money loaded on the front end, this reads susceptible to profit taking to start next week.
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...