1/28/2021

Jan 28, 2021


1/28/2021
Another wild day in the grain markets today.  We were higher overnight and broke out into new highs on the 8:30 open this morning, as we got another BIG round of export sales.  They announced another 1,700,000 metric tons of corn to China and 213,600 metric ton of corn to Unknown.  That makes it 3,740,000 metric tons of corn to China for the week!  If you do the math on that it equates to 137 MILLION bushels!  That’s a big number and from what I hear there was more done today.  That’s the good news.  The bad news is we finished the day unchanged on corn and down 21 cents in soybeans.  Meal felt like it led the way lower down 10 bucks.  Bean export sales for last week were at 466 mt versus 800-1,400 expected.  Corn export sales were at 1,850 mt versus 900-1,600 expected.  The volatility in this market is absolutely incredible and I don't see that changing for a while.  Beans had a 46 cent range and corn had a 21 cent range today.  There is getting to be more gut checks in a days time as the market continuously shakes the tree allowing nobody to get comfortable.  It never hurts to have orders working,  if there is a price you are comfortable with.  There will be more days like today where the market spikes up and then drop before you can even blink.  Do what is right for your business and make sales as we work higher.  Buckle in!
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.