1/5/2022

Jan 05, 2022


1/5/2022
The market took a bit of a breather today after yesterday's move higher.  Corn traded lower the entire session along with wheat.  Beans traded both sides of unchanged and finished higher once again up 5 cents on the day.  We did make a new high for the move today on both old and new crop bean futures to continue the trend.  It's all about new money into a new year and a South American forecast that is worrisome.  Be careful and continue to scale up on sales for both old and new crop corn and beans.  Can we go higher?  Sure, we can but if the forecast changes in South America this market could break in a blink of an eye.  I would like to point something out today that I found very interesting on Twitter.  This week's Argentina crop condition ratings had beans at 56% good to excellent, 36% fair, and 8% poor to very poor.  One year ago, to compare their crop condition ratings were 36% good to excellent, 56% fair, and 8% poor to very poor.  I am not saying there is not a problem brewing by any means, but I am saying it might be a bit early to throw in the towel on their crop.  We found out what timely rains can do last year.  Looking at some charts here are my current targets.  March bean futures have resistance at 13.995, if we can break that 14.45 is next target.  The Nov bean futures target is 13.13.  The March corn target is our previous high of 6.17 futures and the Dec target is 5.65 futures.  If you want to get some orders working let us know. 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...