10/12/2022

Oct 12, 2022


10/12/2022
The October WASDE gave the market mostly what it was expecting.  The USDA lowered corn yield to 171.9 and made a sizeable cut to this year's soybean yield, pinning it at 49.8 bu/ac.  Those are drops of 0.6 and 0.7 bu/ac from the September report.  A lot of numbers were moved around on the corn balance sheet this month.  Along with the decrease in production, the USDA also lowered total use by 125 million bushels.  December corn traded its high and low marks for the day within 5 minutes of the report release before settling back at unchanged.  This make three consecutive reports from the USDA that have been friendly for corn and the market has failed to hold $7.00 or higher on the board.  The report was less eventful for soybeans.  The lower production estimate was met with a sizeable reduction in exports and we ended up with an unchanged ending stocks number of 200 million bushels.  Initial reaction to the report saw soybeans trade 38 cents higher on the November contract to 1414'0 before settling at 1396'0.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...