10/15/2021

Oct 15, 2021


10/15/2021
Strong moves higher in wheat and oats, along with some technical support on the charts, lift corn and soybeans to finish the week.  Trade was lower at the overnight open but never looked in the rearview once we were back in the green.  The USDA announced 3 separate soybean sales for the 2021/22 marketing year at 8am this morning; 396,000 tonnes to unknown, 326,750 tonnes to unknown, and 132,000 tonnes to China for a total of 31.4 million bushels.  Net export sales for last week topped one million tonnes for corn and soybeans and were mid-range for trade estimates.  Last week netted 1.04 million tonnes of corn and 1.15 million tonnes of soybeans sold for export.  An unusually information packed Friday also included the NOPA crush numbers for September.  Bushels crushed was reported at 153.8 million vs 155 million estimated and soyoil stocks came in at 1.684 billion barrels vs 1.663 estimated.  With this morning’s large export sale announcement, the market wasn't concerned with these slightly negative numbers.  Current forecast looks like we should have a big harvest weekend across the western corn belt.  

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...