10/18/2021

Oct 18, 2021


10/18/2021
Corn and soybeans saw the last few days’ uptrend continue with December corn closing just below its overhead consolidation trend line and 50 day moving-average.  Markets started out the overnight session mostly weaker and bouncing around either side of unchanged.  The weekly export inspections helped ignite some excitement with 2.298 million tonnes of soybeans and 976k tonnes of corn inspected for shipment last week, both above trade range expectations and a good sign that the export program is humming along at the time period of our largest supply.  Weekly crop progress is expected to show that we are still well ahead of average harvest pace for corn and soybeans.  Brazil is planting soybeans in ideal conditions and well ahead of their average pace, with their biggest soybean producing state Mato Grasso estimated to be 45% planted (8% last year, 26% 5-year average).  With the size of the soybean crop in South America expected to see a solid increase, it's extremely important for the US to be efficient in shipping out soy exports this year.  Locally, we had a big harvest weekend and it looks like the greater portion of harvest will be complete at the end of this week, pending potential rain on Wednesday. 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...