Grain > Commentary > 10-19-2023

10/19/2023

Oct 19, 2023

After failing on the three previous attempts, December corn finally pushed through the $5 level in fairly strong fashion.  While there were some rumors of export business early on, today's trade seemed to be driven by funds exiting length in the cattle trade and unloading short corn positions.  Similar to what we see on the soybean charts, corn has some hurdles to jump just above the current level.  On the December chart, we have the 100-day moving average at 509, a gap to fill at 525, and the 200-day moving average at 536.  November soybeans set a new high for October as the sun rose this morning and were sold off around mid-morning on hedge pressure, down to the 1300 level where money was more than ready to protect and buyers came back in swiftly.  On November soybeans, resistance sits at the convergence of the 100- and 200-day moving averages near 1317'4, trade and hold above that and we have some room overhead to run.  Given our -60 basis, cash sales in the $12.60-12.65 area are a healthy start.  Upside potential towards the $12.90 cash area is realistic at this time.

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