10/22/2021

Oct 22, 2021


10/22/2021
Another big surge across the wheat trade with the Spring Wheat front month eclipsing the 1000'0 level for the first time since 2012.  Big buying interest in wheat and good ethanol margins propped up corn to finish 3 to 5 higher and go into the weekend on a strong note.  Demand likes to put together a bullish outlook for corn but ethanol profitability through the entire marketing year is more important than what we see right now.  December corn has tapped out at the 540'0 mark each of the last 3 days but has also posted higher lows each of those days, forming a small bull flag on the chart.  A small break higher is possible next week.  Soybeans in general have been weaker as of late and continued this trend today.  November options expired today and the contract will go through delivery and expiration over the next few weeks.  Charts continue to give a bearish bias for soybeans.  The wheat market as a whole has some interesting dynamics going on.  The market is begging for someone to sell but an actual bid doesn't seem to exist.  Today's big move higher likely included some folks simply getting squeezed out.  Weekly cash closes: corn up 9 cents and soybeans 4 cents higher.  Weather-wise, we look to be heading down towards more seasonal temps through this weekend and next week. 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...