10/24/2022

Oct 24, 2022


10/24/2022
General weakness in corn with harvest and hedge pressure saw the commodity locked in 1-2 cent lower trade for a majority of the day. Soybeans were sharply lower, reacting to China further consolidating political power. November options also expired on Friday which may have left some feeling the pain of some bad call purchases and cutting losses. Weekly export inspections were 18.5 million bushels, well below the 41.1 million average that is needed weekly for corn to meet the USDA export forecast. Soybean inspections totaled 106 million bushels; a huge number that helps gain back some ground from the marketing year's slow start. Weather forecast looks favorable for corn harvest to be pretty well finished this week. The farmer was an active seller today, pricing delivered corn bushels.

Corn trade has been mostly sideways for the past two months, stuck inside of a 30 cent range and continues to coil/consolidate. Outlook is favorable for higher prices closer to the end of the year. Looking at the 725-750 futures area as a target window for future sales.
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...