10/25/2022

Oct 25, 2022


10/25/2022
A weaker dollar and simple trend-line support was enough to provide a bounce for corn and soybeans today. Our markets continue range bound as funds and spec traders wait on something to provide a sense of direction to the market. We are still two weeks out from the November WASDE report. The November version of this report from the USDA is typically rather quiet and features little-to-no changes but given how any type of market news has been stifling quiet, more emphasis may be put on this report as a market mover. The silence on yield reports around the grain belt is deafening which makes one think that if the crops were as bad, or worse, than we were told, the market would be talking all about it. We could be setting up for a scenario of a bigger than expected supply and overstated demand from the USDA. There is still good potential for some higher prices as we move out of harvest and towards 2023 but any sort of significant price rally will likely be sold off quickly.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...