10/26/2022

Oct 26, 2022


10/26/2022
Corn and soybeans tried to be higher early in the session but drifted back to unchanged/slightly lower throughout the day. Corn finished 1-2 lower and soybeans fractionally mixed on another day of extremely limited news with nothing solid to provide a direction. November beans looked like they were going to challenge the 1400'0 level but backed away quickly. On the board, resistance appears to building at 700'0 for corn and 1400'0 for soybeans. Weekly ethanol numbers showed higher than expected increases with production up 17,000 barrels/day to 1.03 mln bpd and stocks increasing by 447,000 barrels to 22.29 mln bbls total. Marketing year to date use of corn for ethanol is estimated at 678 million bushels, down 8% from the previous year and is about 20 million bushels below the pace needed to meet the USDA forecast of corn for ethanol use.

Oats are trading nearly $5/bu off of their all time highs set in April and back to levels traded in late 2020. Corn and soybeans are currently about $2.50/bu higher across this same timeframe. The oat trade has been viewed as indicator for other markets but the market has been silent on this.
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...