10/4/2021

Oct 04, 2021


10/4/2021
Markets opened weaker Sunday night with corn trading 3-4 lower and soybeans trading 8-10 lower almost immediately after the open.  This morning, we had an 8am sale announcement with the USDA confirming an export sale of 426,800 tonnes (16.8 million bushels) to Mexico for the 2021/22 marketing year. The buyers showed up for wheat, again, today, with corn and soybeans trying to play follow-the-leader.  Corn traded 6 higher and soybeans 1 higher around midmorning, then steadily faded throughout the day, closing well off of the highs.  December 22 corn traded a new contract high of 538'6 today before retreating.  Input prices for next year's corn crop have been a hot topic lately and with an increasing supply of corn now readily available most everywhere, this seems more like an attempt to buy acres for next year.  Soybeans continue to reel from the quarterly grain stocks report, with the November 2021 contract trading and closing below the 1240'0 level for the first time since the end of March.  1240'0 was a major support level and the report was very bearish for soybeans, it will be interesting to see what the funds and managed money decide to do in the soy sector in the near future.  Harvest should be full bore this week with a beautiful forecast ahead of us.  There are minimal soybeans left to come out and corn harvest is beginning to ramp up.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...