10/5/2021

Oct 05, 2021


10/5/2021
A strong double-digit bounce in soybeans was fueled by sharp rallies in soybean and Malaysian palm oil, today.  After making fresh lows for the move, soybeans key reversed higher today.  Corn tried to put together some strength throughout the day, trading its daily highs around the midpoint of the session, from that point, faded into the close.  Corn was feeling the pressure of a fast harvest after crop progress showed corn 29% harvested, well above the 22% 5-year average for this week.  Over the past 6 trading days, corn has struggled to trade and settle above the 50 day moving averages.  Yield reports continue to pop up from across the grain belt and, so far, there still very little evidence that the USDA's yield estimates are too big.  Some private analysts have started increasing their own yield estimates slightly.  For now, the USDA estimates of 176.3 for corn and 50.6 for soybeans are within reach.  Export inspections for corn and soybeans picked up pace again last week with 809k tonnes of corn (636k tonnes week prior) and 844k tonnes of soybeans (485k tonnes week prior) were inspected last week.  Continue to use these rallies and solid bounces like we saw in soybeans today to price bushels in town.  

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...