11/10/2022

Nov 10, 2022


11/10/2022
A little post-WASDE hangover in the markets today as any big market moving news continues to be lacking. Corn and soybeans traded mostly sideways/slightly higher overnight before reversing. A lack of headlines is typically negative for markets and combining a slow newswire with a now bigger crop sent money away from grains. The USDA announced the sale of 209,931 tonnes of corn to Mexico for the 2022/23 marketing year. The USDA chose to not address to the slow export pace for the 2022/23 corn and left that number unchanged. Export sales were weak last week, most notably for corn. At 265k tonnes, corn sales were their lowest for the week since 2012. Soybeans posting 795k tonnes of net sales was average for this week. To date, current export sales pace is 346 million bushels short of meeting the USDA target (a 24 million bushel increase from last week). Soybean sales pace has also slowed down and is now 76 million bushels short versus 64 million bushels a week ago.

Key reversal lower on the January soybean chart today. After a sharp rally to begin November, we have corrected lower to an area where there is some moving average convergence in the 1412-1420 area and trendline support around the 1400 level. We will be watching this area closely to see how the market wants to approach it. Hopefully this recent pullback on the futures will stimulate some much-needed fresh export demand for corn.
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...