11/16/2022

Nov 16, 2022


11/16/2022
Just when it looked like we were ready to turn the market around following yesterday's war headline, bullish sentiment for the market was vaporized almost immediately.  Conflicting reports over what really happened between Ukraine, Russia, and Poland pressured the markets to trade exclusively lower throughout the session.  Corn has managed to hold the 650 level and soybeans have held 1400, so far.  These areas are important to maintain as we go towards December and into our final production report in January.  Weekly ethanol data showed output down 40,000 barrels/day to 1.01 mln bpd.  Stocks were also off, dropping 894,000 barrels to 21.3 mln bbls.  The USDA announced two sales this morning.  First, 150,000 tonnes of hard red spring wheat for delivery to Iraq during the 2022/23 marketing year.  Second was a large sale to Mexico that totalled 1,866,900 tonnes of corn.  1,242,060 tonnes for delivery in 2022/23 and 624,840 tonnes for delivery in the 2023/24.  While on the surface this large sale may appear supportive, business to Mexico is almost entirely routine.

outlook.png

Read More News

Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...