Grain > Commentary > 11-17-2023

11/17/2023

Nov 17, 2023

Most commodities continued on a "risk-off" path to end the week. Trade seems unsure about China/U.S. relations and weather forecasts continued to add rain into major growing regions of Brazil. The USDA was quiet at 8 a.m. this morning and made no sale announcements. Overall, Friday was a quiet in terms of fresh news or headlines.

"Escalator up, elevator shaft down" - After breaking lower for 3 days, January soybeans have already retraced 50% of their 24 day rally. Upward trends still remain intact and these pullbacks are necessary to maintain healthy markets.

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7/10/2026
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
6/11/2026
Jun 11, 2026
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5/12/2026
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.