11/18/2021

Nov 18, 2021


11/18/2021
Soybeans and meal pullback after a sharp move higher the yesterday.  There was some green on the board going into the coffee break this morning but market felt a little overbought and toppy going into the day session.  A full dollar rally in seven days in soybeans is surely going to be met with some positions being offset and shorting.  The January contract settled back into the area that I am looking for the funds to defend with more technical buying.  The 1290-1295 futures area is the current target for cash sales.  The market appears very comfortable with December corn trading inside of the 565-580 range and it feels like there is quite a bit of energy capped underneath the 595 level from March 22 out to July 22.  A break higher out of our current trading range would likely see some $6.00 cash deliveries a possibility for the summer months.  For those interested, soybean meal is extremely overbought right now and needs a correction.  Anyone looking to cover usage needs should explore the 350.0 area on the January 22 contract.  Week export sales were just ok this last week with the net sales for corn, soybean, and wheat all within trade estimates.  There was 905k tonnes of corn, 1.383 million tonnes of soybeans, and 399k tonnes of wheat sold last week.  There were no 8am sale announcements this morning.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...