11/18/2022

Nov 18, 2022


11/18/2022
Soybeans go into the weekend with a solid bounce of 10-11 cents higher out into the August 2023 contract. Corn finished mixed, scattered from 1 lower to 1 higher, struggling to stray further than a couple cents from unchanged but managed to end the week just fractionally above the 200-day moving average on the front month chart. With next week likely seeing some light volume due to the holiday, the trade algorithms might see today's close as a buy signal and use the thin trade to push the corn market easier. Overall, today was slow for trade, there were no big headlines, reports, or USDA sale announcements to stimulate any fundamental moves. For the week, December corn finishes 8'4 cents up and January soybeans give up 21 cents.

Soybeans continue their long term consolidation between the June highs and July lows, finding trendline resistance and support this week. The breakout from this pattern will be large.
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...