11/20/2020

Nov 20, 2020


11/20/2020
We had a couple sales get announced this morning none of which are China again.  158,270 metric ton of corn to Mexico and 131,000 metric ton of corn to Unknown.  Overnight the markets were strong as beans tried once again to get to that infamous 12.00 future mark getting close at 11.9675.  But that’s not 12.00, so the target remains.  Corn got drug along with and managed to put in a triple top at 4.28 December futures.  A triple top is usually not a good sign, but since were still in the year 2020 anything rule of thumb can be violated.  As I said before let’s scale sales into this market and see where we end up averaging when it all over.  If you put all your eggs in one basket nothing is guaranteed.  Covid headlines continue to pile up, but so far the market has not reacted since it is so bulled up.  Be careful is all I am trying to say and do what is right for you and your business.  The bean spreads have moved into even money as the market has its belly full for now as export sales have slowed and the processor continues to feast off harvest bushels.  Corn spreads are steady at small carries as there is just enough movement to keep the market happy.  Get those Dec HTA and Basis contracts cleaned up be Wednesday next week.
 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...