11/27/2023

Nov 27, 2023


Corn and soybeans begin the week down as lower continues to be the path of least resistance. Grains as a whole were largely weaker with wheat double-digits lower and corn finishing with 5-7 cent losses and new 2 1/2 year lows. Soybeans ended the day mixed, within 1 cent of either side of unchanged. The biggest market mover has been the rains that materialized in Brazil over the holiday and weekend and brought good amounts of much needed moisture to some major producing areas but there are still some parts of the region only received light amounts. Soybeans have been their own market since harvest and we saw some excellent export demand develop earlier this month. Corn end-users and exporters appeared to find a couple months of coverage fairly easily during harvest on better than expected yields. Corn has been a follower and really needs its own story to develop. Corn demand should improve in December and any sort of issue in South America could see pricing goals met quickly.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.