11/29/2021

Nov 29, 2021


11/29/2021
Money flow was in sell-off mode on Monday following a highly volatile short session on Friday.  Soybean trade's objective today was to fill the gap from Friday's hard open that left a 10-cent gap overhead on the chart.  Once that gap filled after the coffee break this morning, futures leaked lower throughout the entire day.  News has been routine as of late with only recycled headlines.  Lack of anything fresh typically triggers selling.  Weekly export inspections were strong for soybeans last week with 2.143 million tonnes, above the top trade estimate.  Soybean shipments have increased their pace and are now 20 million bushels below the pace necessary to meet the USDA's export target, versus 60 million the week prior. Corn and wheat shipments were within range but on the low end with 766k tonnes of corn and 251k tonnes of wheat inspected for shipment.  Corn shipments are now short of the pace needed to meet the USDA target by 153 million bushels compared to 151 million bushels the week prior.   In the blink of an eye, we're already less than 10 days away from our next WASDE report.  The December report is one that is always talked as unimportant with a lot of traders looking towards January for the final production numbers.  I hope everyone had a wonderful Thanksgiving.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...