11/29/2022

Nov 29, 2022


11/29/2022
A quiet day overall for the markets.  We saw some higher trade through the overnight session and briefly after the morning break before we scattered into slow, two-sided trade past mid-day.  After soybeans broke higher yesterday, today's lower trade found buyers and immediate support at the 200-day moving average before flipping green and trading near the November monthly highs.  Corn ended the day mixed, fractional-1 cent away from unchanged.  After seeing 13-20 cent trading ranges, soybeans finished higher, improving 1-5 cents.  Bullish sentiment in corn has been on the downtrend.  The commitment to traders showed funds and managed have liquidated positions to their smallest length since August.  The market has absorbed the offset selling incredibly well and we have been able to maintain trade near, or above, August highs.  This is promising as we are nearing a timeframe where we should start to see an upswing in corn export sales and inspections as the soybean program begins to wind down.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...