11/3/2023

Nov 03, 2023


Soybeans surge with gains of 17-23 cents and corn follows to improve 6-7 cents to close the week. Highs in soybeans were set during the final minutes of the session. Trade was quiet overnight with soybeans and corn keeping within a couple pennies of unchanged until outside markets brought money flowing into grains. A poor October jobs report sent treasury yields plunging and weakened the dollar index which triggered chunk buying of commodities. After a quick pullback, momentum buying advanced the market further to the upside. The USDA announcing 131,150 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown during the 23/24 marketing year likely helped convinced trade that this move was warranted. December corn held just above the very important September low and completed an outside reversal higher. Trade held firmly higher through the session, giving a positive outlook going into trade next week.


A strong leg higher on the soybean charts today. The Jan 24 contract surpassed a trio of technical points today and now lies above moving averages after completing a 50% retracement to the July high. We have had several conversations over the past month with growers where we pinpointed today’s trading area as a spot to price bushels in town. With the strong action today, the door has cracked open to the possibility of $13 soybeans.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...