11/4/2022

Nov 04, 2022


11/4/2022
Soybeans lead the way higher going into the weekend on hopes of increased export business after it was announced that China would begin working its way towards an opened-up economy without Covid restrictions on citizens. The strength in soybeans lifted the other grain trades with it. This was also friendly for energies, vegetable oils, and soybean meal. Corn traded to 5-6 cents higher before drifting back to finish a modest 1-2 cents better on the day. Soybeans traded to 20+ cents higher early and held throughout the entire session. With a majority of harvest complete, analysts have started raising their yield projections for this year's U.S. crops. Will the USDA do the same in next week's WASDE report? This is typically a quiet report but with corn exports continuing at the bare-minimum pace and the crops much better than anyone expected, the USDA may make changes sooner than they have in the past. Look at the 695-700 area on the December futures for a corn sale if you did not price anything in that area earlier this week.

Soybeans charged higher to finish the week. In my opinion, we need to see the January contract correct lower near the 1420 area before trying break higher out of 4 months of consolidating trade. Set price targets to fill cash at the 1490 futures area if we are able to break out higher.
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...