11/7/2023

Nov 07, 2023


Corn and soybeans spent most of the overnight session stuck in lower trade but the 8:30 re-open saw a big shot of life return to the soybeans. Beans moved higher quickly up to the mid-day point of the session, with gains of up to 16 cents, but were unable to hold. We quickly faded away off of the fresh highs and found lower trade, once again. Corn was never able to take advantage of the strength in soybeans and only able to trade at unchanged or lower and ended Tuesday with losses of 6-7 cents. Losses in soybeans ranged from 2-13 cents. This past week's large move higher in beans had been fueled by rumors of export business and the price action in soybean spreads finally provided validation today. The USDA confirmed the sale of 110,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to China during the 2023/24 marketing year. We've hit a couple of price targets very quickly in soybeans so now would be a good time for the market to take a breath and the opportunity for a healthy pullback.

A quick trip to touch the July trendline today before fading back to a 2 lower finish. A correction to the downside should not come as a surprise after such a large move higher. Excellent moving average and trend line support underneath the current levels.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...