12/1/2020

Dec 01, 2020


12/1/2020
News is very quiet and the markets continued fade into the close today.  March corn broke the 4.23 level today, but hung onto the next support level of 4.20.  Ultimately there is a chance we could go down and test the 4.00 level, but that would take a widespread rain in South America.  Beans look destined now to test that 11.38 January level I mentioned yesterday.  Bean exports have slowed and the exporters seem over bought currently as no more new business has showed up for a while.  The market hasn’t had more than a few day setbacks in months. Is it time we do now?  The last set back we had was during month end in October and continued into the first couple days on November, which was about a 42 cent pull back, and then we blew up into new high levels.  Are we setting up for the same thing?  We are about to find out for sure, but my gut says 11.38 is in play, which is a healthy correction in my opinion.  South American weather will likely decide our fate either way.
 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...