12/10/2021

Dec 10, 2021


12/10/2021
Some good upwards momentum after the coffee break was stemmed off only 15 minutes into the session.  Highs for the day were set early with trade seemingly uninterested in doing much of anything.  Corn traded 2 cents and soybeans 6 cents for the large majority of the slow day.  This could be the theme for trade for the remainder of the year unless we get some type of suprise news before the final production report in January.  Processors and end-users have backed off their cash bids over the past week and appear to be covered into the new year.  Corn is hanging around the top end of a six-month trading range, hitting my most recent futures target for pricing some grain.  Soy oil and meal are taking turns supporting soybeans and I am leaving my target in place in the 1280-1290 area on the January 22 contract to price some beans out of the bin or on storage in town.  We traded within 4 cents of the 1280 mark today and with a big crop likely to be harvested in Brazil over the next couple months, best to not give up quarters while trying to grab nickels.  Weekly grain closes: cash corn 6 cents higher, new crop corn 1 lower; cash soybeans unchanged on the week and new crop soybeans up 14 cents.

Read More News

May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.