12/30/2022

Dec 30, 2022


12/30/2022
Soybeans appeared to be making another strong move overnight, with some euphoric buying coming in shortly at the coffee break. Holiday trade has made it seemingly easy for soybeans to trade within reach of contract highs and the bull is focused solely on Argentine weather and ignoring a huge soybean crop in Brazil. Spillover support from soybeans and moving average support tried to push March corn out of its wedge pattern to the high side early in the session but had fallen back to unchanged by mid-day. Corn and soybeans continued to fade into the close. The USDA confirmed the sale of 186,000 tonnes of soybeans to unknown for delivery during the 2022/23 marketing year. Market upside feels extremely limited if we sustain these price levels into our final production numbers on January 12. Cash basis continues to be defensive following another day of strong board trade. Reminder: Glacial Plains will be closed on Monday, January 2, 2023. We would like to thank all of our customers and patrons for a wonderful 2022 and we look forward to the opportunity to provide our services to you in 2023.

March corn narrowly escaped an outside reversal lower to end the year. We traded through some long-term overhead resistance but could not hold. We closed below trend-line resistance and just above the 200-day moving average. We are setting up for a breakout shortly after we turn the calendar to 2023.
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...