12/6/2022

Dec 06, 2022


12/6/2022
A nice overnight rally in soybeans followed by the USDA announcing the soybean sales of 264,000 tonnes to China and 240,000 tonnes to unknown for the 2022/23 marketing year push back to levels near our two month highs. If we are able to sustain a move near our September highs, that would be a great area to target for another old crop sale. Also, a hedged-to-arrive contract at $14.00 off the Nov. 23 should be more than just "thought about." Corn tried to manufacture some momentum after filling a downside gap yesterday. March 23 corn was able to trade 5 cents higher shortly after the morning break but spent most of the day in the range of 1-2 cents higher before flipping red. I'm still optimistic we will be able to work back towards the high 6's/low 7's on the board. There's always the possibility of everything happening quick so working sell orders in these areas for corn and soybeans is the best way to capture these values. This is especially true this week, considering how quiet the market has been over the past month and we have the CONAB report on Thursday and the monthly USDA WASDE report on Friday.

Solid gains and above the 200-day moving average for soybeans. We finished well below the high on the day after late session profit taking until buyer’s lifted trade by a nickel going into the close.
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...