12/7/2022

Dec 07, 2022


12/7/2022
Soybeans opened higher to begin the overnight and never looked back, once again, making a strong run to levels near our fresh 60-day highs set last week.  The two-week sell-off in wheat appeared to turn the tide today with Chicago and KC wheat posting 18-20 cent gains on the day and Minneapolis wheat improving 5 cents.  Corn benefited mostly from the outside strength in beans and wheat but was also helped out by the weekly ethanol report showing higher than expected production and stocks.  Production was up 59,000 barrels/day to 1.08 million bpd.  Stocks increased 323,000 barrels to 23.26 million bbls.  There was a potential key reversal higher on the corn charts this morning but trade was not able to hold.  Corn still finishes the day 3-4 cents higher in firm fashion.  With a couple notable reports still due out this week, cash beans in the high $14's is a possibility.  The $14 level on November 2023 soybean futures has developed into an area of stiff resistance and is not a bad place to start marketing next year's crop.  Trade can move quickly on report days so have sell orders working!

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.