12/9/2022

Dec 09, 2022


12/9/2022
The WASDE report came and went with the excitement that is typical for this report in the final month of the year.  The USDA cut the corn export forecast by 75 million bushels but left the remainder of the balance sheet unchanged.  There will probably be demand sectors revised lower further down the road.  March corn traded its high mark for the week when the report was released before falling back to 1-2 higher trade.  The corn board finished the week in mixed fashion.  The USDA made no changes to the soybean balance sheet.  This week's rally has shaken loose quite a few bushels of beans out of delayed-pricing and out of bins off of the farm.  I think our growers did a great job this week getting soybeans priced at the top side of our 6-month trading range.  We are still near the top end of that range so if you have not priced any beans in at these levels, look hard into it here.  If trade can continue to push soybeans higher, we have hard resistance at $15.00 before we can target our upside gaps on the charts.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.