2/2/2024

Feb 02, 2024


Friday didn't offer us anything fresh in the markets.  Corn was quietly down in the range of 2-4 cents and soybeans settle 13-15 cents lower and just above fresh lows as the market continues to price in record production and favorable conditions in Brazil.  Following three years of traditionally high prices, incredible production in the U.S., and added acres in South America there is a plentiful supply of grain around the globe.  Near-record prices of soybeans in the U.S. has created demand destruction and allowed Brazil to undercut our exports.  Corn usage has increased year-over-year during this market cycle but big acres and record yield in the U.S. has given end users a plentiful supply.  Overall outlook for the markets continues to be lower.  Extended forecasts have been consistent in favoring an early spring.  Average planting pace, average growing conditions, and average yields for corn and soybeans is not supportive to current price levels.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...