2/28/2023

Feb 28, 2023


2/28/2023
Not a good day in the grain markets today.  Corn support was at 6.35 futures and the market failed to hold that level and finished at the lows of the day at 6.30.  That opens the door for some more downside pressure down to the gap we have sitting at 5.95 futures.  My fingers are crossed that we can find some exports at these lower prices, which might get us to bounce back in the coming weeks.  The processor likely needs more coverage when the farmer hits the field to plant and lower prices will slow farmer selling for now.  Beans were also drug lower today as they tried to hold their own the last few days, but today they felt the pressure the as well.  Support on May beans is at 14.76 futures, which is only 3 cents away currently.  If that level doesn't hold it opens the door to the November low at 14.19 futures.  The main reason for the bean pressure today is the advancing Brazilian harvest and offers from that country that are well below the United States. A lack of Chinese buying and news they may be washing out of Argentine purchases added to the negative tone. Crush margins remain negative in China and these cancellations would not be surprising.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...