2/6/2023

Feb 06, 2023


2/6/2023
A quiet day for corn, trading a 5-7 cent range and finishing mostly 1-3 cents higher.  Soybeans were double-digits lower, reeling from a reversal lower in soybean meal and some quietly lower trade in soy oil.  The USDA made a pair of sale announcements this morning.  First were 111,800 tonnes of corn for delivery to Japan during the 2022/23 marketing year.  Second was 200,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to Mexico, split 50/50 between the 2022/23 and 2023/24 marketing years.  Weekly export inspections showed another sizeable week for soybeans coming in on the high end of expectations with 1.830 mln tonnes shipped.  Corn shipments were on the low-side with 480k tonnes shipped.  This is the second lowest corn total for this week in the past 10 years.  Soybean shipment pace is now 40 million bushels ahead of the pace needed to meet the USDA target for the year.  Corn export shipments to date are 143 million bushels behind the pace needed to meet the USDA target and the deficit has been growing over the past few weeks.

outlook.png

Read More News

Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected. 
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time.