2/8/2024

Feb 08, 2024


HUGE data dump today… CONAB, USDA WASDE, Weekly Export Sales, USDA Flash Sale… Soybeans held well despite the negative USDA report, trade appears to be buying into CONAB's story on the Brazil bean crop… Report was a snoozer for corn but did not provide any new negativity.
-USDA 8 a.m.: 200,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to Colombia in the 2023/24 marketing year
-CONAB: Brazil total soybean production at 149.4 mmt versus 154.61 in January, total corn at 113.7 versus 117.6 last month.
-USDA puts Brazil corn production at 124.32 versus 127.0 in January, total soybean at 153.17 versus 157.0 in Jan.
-U.S. Weekly Export Sales: Corn at the top end of the expected range with 1.219 mln tonnes (600k-1.3 mln tonnes expected).
-U.S. Weekly Export Sales: Soybean sales miss at 341k tonnes (400k-1.0 mln tonnes expected).

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...