3/11/2022

Mar 11, 2022


3/11/2022

The higher fuel market has increased the cost of freight dramatically, which is why you see the difference in the cash spread between our locations. Hopefully this fuel market comes back to reality soon. Unfortunately, we need to cover the increased cost. Today's price action was much more subtle to end the week. Grains traded mostly lower overnight but rallied back towards unchanged throughout the day with what appeared to be very disciplined buying, resulting in a modestly higher finish in corn. Corn traded 10-20 cent ranges and soybeans kept their highs and lows within about 30 cents of each other for the day. There was still plenty of movement inside those ranges but volatility was down and trade moved much slower compared to earlier in the week. The USDA kicked us off with a pair of sale announcements at 8 a.m. that included 128,900 tonnes of corn to unknown in 2021/22 and 264,000 tonnes of soybeans to China in 2022/23. Rail freight has become extremely expensive and fuel surcharges continue to increase, making existing and new sales tedious to navigate in the near future. Overall, basis continues to soften on the front end with processors and end users bidding defensively after a large movement of cash grain to begin the month. Enjoy what looks to be a great weekend.


With spring finally arriving for us next week, US weather will continuously become more important.
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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
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