3/12/2021

Mar 12, 2021


3/12/2021
Overnight session was strongly lower with corn and beans relentlessly testing their closest support levels.  Despite rumors of Chinese interest in US corn, we were given no confirmation of a sale and grains failed to gather any momentum to make a move higher and spent most of the day session recovering to finish mixed.  Today's action is assumed money flow taking risk off of the table as we still look for a fresh set of fundamentals to trade and give the market direction.  China has been actively buying US ethanol which could be offering some indirect support.  Argentina crop ratings continue to drop with 17% of their corn rating good to excellent and only 6% of their beans rating good to excellent.  Their crops rated in the poor to very poor category for corn and beans are both around the 30% mark.  We continue to have a better understanding of the soybean crop status in Brazil after a string of heavy rains last week.  There does not seem to be a large amount of acre or bushel loss but the focus has changed to possible quality issues in the crop.  After setting new contract highs early in the week, soybeans traded a 68-cent range and finish 17 lower compared to last week's close.  Week to week close on corn is 6 lower after trading a 25 cent range.  Looks like another unseasonably nice weekend is in store for us, enjoy!
 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...