3/17/2023

Mar 17, 2023


Corn and soybeans traded higher in steady fashion during the overnight session but gave back all gains immediately following the morning break.  Corn came back just enough to finish 1-2 cents higher and soybeans recovered roughly 5 cents off of their lows late in the day.  The USDA announced more corn sales to China this morning with 191k tonnes confirmed as a follow-up to yesterday's flash sale of 641k tonnes.  That's a 4-day total of 83 million bushels exclusively to China all for delivery during the 2022/23 marketing year.  Export net sales totals last week were within trade expectations but encouraging.  Corn sales netted 1.236 mln tonnes and soybeans came in at 665k tonnes.  May 23 corn futures go into the weekend nearly 30 cents above their 7-month low set last week, Dec 23 corn has managed to gain back only 10 cents.  There has not been much discussion about the Prospective Plantings report due out two weeks from today but early estimates have been around 92 million acres for corn.  Balance sheets show the available grain supply growing going into the 2024 but we do not have much room for error.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...