3/18/2022

Mar 18, 2022


3/18/2022
Volatility continues to wind down in what was likely the lightest trading volume day we've had thus far in 2022.  Corn traded a 10-15 cent range and soybeans 15-35 cents to finish the week in mixed fashion but relatively close to unchanged.  Trade all week was choppy and sideways as the market action did not necessarily reflect any news headlines or fresh fundamentals as both were very limited other than routine reports.  The geo-political climate appears to be more important than actual cash grain trade on our markets.  Anything involving Ukraine and Russia has been traded 100x one way or another at this point.  The market remains fluid with the situation but has become numb to the ever-changing headlines revolving around it.  It seems as though China now wants to get involved and grab some attention away for themselves.  If the U.S. were to impose any type of sanctions on China as a direct result, it would likely be unfriendly for our grains and proteins.  There's not a good example in history of these sanctions actually doing any good.  They never hurt countries, just the people inside their borders.  Cash grain weekly closes: cash corn down 14 cents and new crop corn down 2 cents, cash soybeans are 11 cents lower on the week and new crop soybeans 20 cents lower.  There are a lot of fundamentals for this market to digest over the next couple of weeks with the grain stocks and planting intentions reports at the end of the month and another round of WASDE numbers the following week.outlook.jpg

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...