3/19/2024

Mar 19, 2024


After corn and soybeans were lower on Monday, Tuesday's session featured some very stable trade with trading ranges of 5 cents in corn and 10 cents in soybeans. Corn finished 1-3 higher while soybeans were mixed from 2 higher to 2 lower. Weekly export inspections for corn were up nearly 3 million bushels from the previous week. Corn shipment pace now has a 34-million-bushel cushion over the USDA target and this surplus should continue to grow as corn shipments peak sometime in the next 7-10 weeks before the seasonal fall off. Soybean inspections were down from the previous week but continue to build momentum on their pace to meet the USDA export target, swinging from 2 million bushels short to a 6-million-bushel surplus. Markets have stabilized and found some good general support on some serious dry conditions in Argentina and the U.S. early spring now looking like it will be delayed to a more traditional arrival. Our next great marketing opportunity will be next week with the annual planting intentions report.

A really nice close above the 50-day moving average for December corn today. This contract has also put together a solid trend channel higher since setting our major low in February. I like HTA’s and new crop sales both anywhere in between 480-485 futures going into next week’s planting intentions report.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...