3/2/2021

Mar 02, 2021


3/2/2021
Weaker trade overnight in both corn and beans turned strongly higher in our day session on what could be best described as the buying simply outweighed the selling today.  We were able to recover a good portion of Monday's losses with corn and beans both settling in the middle of their 3-week trading ranges.  We did have a daily export sale announcement this morning of 175,000 tonnes of corn to Japan for the 2021/2022 marketing year.  This is the first daily export sale announcement since February 12 and we have no seen China as a flash buyer since January 29.  The United Kingdom announced that it will double the amount of ethanol blended in motor fuel from 5% to 10%.  This should be friendly long term for both ethanol and corn demand.  Some parts of Brazil received excessive rains overnight, with one isolated area receiving 10" of rain.  It is too early to know if the high amount of precipitation will result in any significant crop damage.  Overall, weather leans friendly for soybeans.  Argentina continues to see increased drought stress and the US drought monitor has seen little-to-no improvement over the past couple weeks.  Continue to evaluate your operation's risk and set new crop pricing goals accordingly.  In terms of market, this spring will be interesting.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.