3/22/2021

Mar 22, 2021


3/22/2021
Mixed trade overnight and mostly lower during the day session as we finish another day of range trade and position setting ahead of the planting intentions report and March 1 stocks report.  Estimates for the USDA's planting intentions report have been generally the same with estimated corn acres pushing the upper end of the threshold and bean acres coming in short.  The weekly export inspections were encouraging, with corn coming in big for the second week in a row at 1.962 million tonnes.  Soybean inspections were at the upper end of estimates at 489k tonnes.  Wheat inspections were 648k tonnes and was above the top estimate for the second consecutive week.  Big news today was the Canadian Pacific and Kansas City Southern railroads agreed to combine, creating the first US-Mexico-Canada rail network and creating a new single-line offering for international rail freight.  To review, overall, our old crop corn futures are still a premium compared to the current USDA carryout, trade is expecting the carryout to be lowered to a 1.2-1.3 number, where we are trading currently is a nice a number to sell into.  Glacial Plains is currently offering free price later on new deliveries of corn, pricing deadline is October 13, 2021.
 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...