3/24/2021

Mar 24, 2021


3/24/2021
In what could be the lightest volume day this year so far, corn was mixed in both sessions and finishes 2 higher on the day in modest fashion.  Soybeans were higher for a large portion of the overnight hours and spent most of the day session between 2-4 cents higher before a push in the final hour of the day had beans trading above the 1430 level to finish 9 higher.  News is mostly still routine and the recent lighter volume we've been seeing recently makes it easier for the day-trade and speculator types to flow money in a favorable direction for them.  Brazil looks to be entering a timeframe that offers a good window of field work and Argentina is forecasted for significant rain to finish this week.  There is evidence of end-user coverage in soybean meal for poultry and dairy feed through early summer.  Weekly ethanol production was down 49k bbl/day last week, coming in at 922k bbl/day.  Ethanol stocks also rose 21.8 mln barrels vs the prior week at 21.3 mln.  Every day, more analysts are releasing their planting intentions estimates with most showing roughly 89 million acres for beans and either side of 94 million acres of corn.  If realized, this would be market-friendly for beans and bearish for corn.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...