3/27/2023

Mar 27, 2023


After a short period of lower trade overnight, corn and soybeans turned it around to begin the week strong. Soybeans enjoyed gains of 13-15 cents and corn picked up 5-9 cents on Monday. Corn shook off a poor showing in the weekly export inspections, missing low at 666k tonnes shipped. Soybeans were at the upper end of their expected range with 889k tonnes shipped. We also had another sale announcement at 8 a.m. this morning with the USDA confirming 112,800 metric tons of corn for delivery to unknown during the 2022/23 marketing year. Soybeans inspections to date for this marketing year are 54 million bushels ahead of the pace needed to meet the USDA target, up from 44 million last week. Corn shipments for the marketing year are 170 million bushels behind the pace needed to meet the USDA target, up from 152 million bushels last week. Trade will likely continue working towards neutral spots on the charts ahead of Friday's prospective plantings and quarterly grain stocks reports.

Textbook inverted head and shoulders pattern on May corn.
corn-chart.png

Read More News

Oct 09, 2026
USDA Report Update:
Well, the USDA gave us an absolute shocker this morning and raised the corn yield up to 181.2 bpa vs 178.5 in September.  The average trade guess was lower at 177.7 bpa.  The carryout is now up to 1.849 billion bushels vs 1.567 in September.  They raised Exports up 25 million, Feed and residual up 50 million and Ethanol up 50 million.  Corn is currently down 28 cents on this news.  This is an absolute shocker to the corn market. 
Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected.