3/5/2021

Mar 05, 2021


3/5/2021
After trading firmly higher overnight, new crop corn set a new contract high for the second day in a row and beans close within earshot of their contract highs, leading the way to a strongly higher finish for the week.  Bullish support came in from several areas today with a flood of investor money buying in all commodities from grains, livestock, proteins, lumber, etc.  Funds flexed their muscle again, maintaining strong support of the 530 level on the May corn contract for the 4th day in a row before midday.  Despite growing concerns over ASF, Chinese corn futures were higher overnight, sending a demand signal to traders in the US.  Today was also the first opportunity for trade to begin positioning themselves for the WASDE report release on Tuesday.  Estimates were out late yesterday showing another trim to both the corn and bean carry outs and an increase to wheat stocks.  Corn was estimated at a 1.47 billion bushel carryout (1.50 in Feb report), soybean estimates averaged 117 million bushels (120 mln in Feb report), and wheat is seen to increase to an 839 million bushel carry out (836 mln in Feb report).  Week to week, corn was 2 lower and beans were 26 higher.  We maintain a long-term bullish bias and this is the ideal market to make sales when you want to and not when you have to.  Enjoy the beautiful weekend!
 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...