3/6/2023

Mar 06, 2023


3/6/2023
Corn lower and soybeans higher to begin the week.  With the market focused on Argentine crop ratings and weather, trade was aggressive in buying soybeans early in the session on Monday but had given back a majority of gains by the mid-day point.  Corn was stuck in 1-4 cent lower trade for most of the day.  I guess only the soybeans are suffering from drought in Argentina.  The USDA came through at 8 a.m. with two corn sale announcements, both for the 2022/23 marketing year.  These included 110,000 tonnes for delivery to Japan and 182,400 tonnes for delivery to unknown.  Weekly export inspections showed a nice pop in corn shipments, coming in above expectations at 900k tonnes.  Soybeans missed low at 542k tonnes.  That was lowest total for the week going back to the 2016/17 marketing year.  We seem to be stuck in a winter that just doesn't want to end and it’s only a matter of time before trade will want to talk about potential planting delays.  Potential will be there to grab a weather premium on the board.  Fixing basis on any unsold corn you have remaining in the elevator or at home before the end of March should be strongly considered.

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...